President Barack Obama will leave office at the end of this month, a poll released Tuesday showed.
The NBC News/Marist poll showed a 50 percent chance that Obama will remain in the White House through June 2020, and a 44 percent chance of leaving office before June 2021.
That’s far higher than the national average of 45 percent, and well above the percentage who said they would vote for another candidate.
Obama’s successor will be elected by popular vote, which he’ll likely need to win reelection.
The poll surveyed 1,095 likely voters from Sept. 27 to Oct. 4.
The margin of error is 3 percentage points.
The president was the first president to leave the Whitehouse without taking office in January 2009, when George W. Bush left in January 2001.
Obama, 78, has been in office since Jan. 20, 2009, and is the oldest president to hold the office.
The new poll showed Trump, the GOP nominee for president, leading in the state of Florida, 48 percent to 41 percent, with Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson at 4 percent.
In New Hampshire, Trump led the two remaining Republican candidates for president in the race for the Republican nomination, former Florida Gov.
Jeb Bush and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz.
Trump also had an advantage in Ohio, where he had a 9-point lead in a recent Quinnipiac University poll.
The two top Democratic candidates, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, also had big leads in the Quinnipics poll.
Both Clinton and Sanders received support from more than one-third of voters in New Hampshire and nearly half in Florida.
Trump had the support of just under a third of New Hampshire voters, while Clinton had support from roughly a third.
Clinton was supported by 55 percent of New Hampshirites, compared to 21 percent for Sanders, the poll showed.
In Florida, Trump had support of 46 percent, compared with 17 percent for Clinton, and about one-fifth of Florida voters said they were undecided.
In Iowa, Trump got support from just over a quarter of voters, compared.
with Sanders, who had support with about a third, the Quinnips poll showed, while Sanders received just over one-fourth support from Iowa voters.
Trump led Clinton in Iowa by 9 points in the national Quinnipic poll released Sept. 26, with Trump garnering 55 percent support to Clinton’s 42 percent.
The Quinnipicks poll found Trump had an edge among self-identified Republicans, with 42 percent of self-described Republicans favoring Trump, compared that to 38 percent for Cruz.